Gary Zhou 
Goldman Sachs believes Tesla’s recent delivery report reveals Giga Shanghai’s recovery after strict lockdowns hampered production.
“We believe 2Q production and delivery numbers were heavily impacted by COVID restrictions in Shanghai (with Tesla’s [China] factory closed for most of April and operating at partial capacity in May),” said Goldman Each’s in a recent note.
Over the weekend, Tesla reported delivering 254,695 vehicles in the second quarter, slightly lower than Q1 2022’s 258,580 deliveries. The Street’s consensus estimate was 256,700 vehicle deliveries, while FactSet estimated that Tesla would deliver 263,000 vehicles.
Wedbush tech analyst Dan Ives noted that the Street’s line in the sand for Tesla deliveries was roughly 250K globally, and analysts would view anything above 260,000 positively. Before the Q2 2022 delivery report’s release, TSLA analysts adjusted their delivery forecasts, considering some headwinds the company faced in the second quarter.
In its latest delivery report, Tesla noted that it still faced ongoing supply chain challenges and had to deal with factory shutdowns beyond its control. However, the company did leave off on a positive note stating: “June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla’s history.”
Goldman Sachs believes Tesla’s June numbers show that Giga Shanghai is recovering well and will return to regular operations soon. In addition, the investment bank company also seems hopeful about Tesla’s production ramps in Giga Texas and Giga Berlin.
“We estimate that the restrictions in China may have been roughly 100K unit impact in 2Q based on CPCA data. However, we believe that the record production in June is a sign that Shanghai is ramping back up well and that the company made progress recently at its Berlin and Austin factories,” said the investment bank and financial services company.
